My latest post, Honduras: Elections tomorrow, Zelaya talking of leaving is up at Real Clear World.
My latest post, Honduras: Elections tomorrow, Zelaya talking of leaving is up at Real Clear World.
Welcome to the Carnival of Latin America and the Caribbean.
Mahmoud Ahmadinejad started his tour of South America by accepting Lula’s invitation to Brazil, which was first scheduled for last May but was postponed after public outcry. Protestors were at the airport
Around 200 Iranian businessmen accompanied Ahmadinejad’s delegation, in a sign of their eagerness to tap opportunities in a continent that does not consider Tehran a pariah.
Lucia Newman, formerly of CNN, reports on the visit,
More links on the visit in the Brazil section below.
Meanwhile, Mahmoud Abbas is visiting Argentina.
New corruption ranking says a lot
US builds up its bases in oil-rich South America
From the Caribbean to Brazil, political opposition to US plans for ‘full-spectrum operations’ is escalating rapidly. To which I say, “Drill, baby drill, here in the USA.”
Don’t cry for me, America
Ahmadinejad, murderer, visiting Brazil on November 23: AHMADINEJAD, O MATADOR
The NYT says that by hosting Ahmadinejad, Brazil Elbows U.S. on the Diplomatic Stage
Brazil: Pro-Israel March Against Ahmadinejad and Jew hatred
Iran’s Tehran Times publishes Fidel Castro’s latest: The Bolivarian Revolution and peace
Inequities in Ecuador
Entrevista a Felix Maradiaga
In the Grip of the Gripe
Revolting news: Human Fat Ring Busted in Peru
November 23, 1963
This week’s posts and podcasts
Why the US stopped supporting Zelaya: 15 Minutes on Latin America
Cuba: Get yer free penile implant!
Ahmadinejad heading to Brazil
Yoani Sanchez gets reply from Obama
Chavez now making clouds abort from the presidential palace
Brazil takes off: 15 Minutes on Latin America
Honduran Congress will decide on Zelaya “after the election”
VIDEO Venezuela Franklin Brito’s hunger strike: 15 Minutes on Latin America
Islamic militants and the drug trade
Americans jailed in Cuba while visiting family: 15 Minutes on Latin America
Congress in Honduras will not vote on whether to restore ousted President Manuel Zelaya until after elections this month, a senior lawmaker said.
Congressional president Jose Alvedro Saavedra said Congress would meet in early December to decide if Mr Zelaya will be allowed to serve out his term.
Zelaya of course is in a snit,
Mr Zelaya warned last weekend that he would not return to the presidency if Congress voted to restore him after the elections. He said doing so would legitimise his removal from office in June.
His term of office is due to end in January.
In the meantime, Zelaya remains cooped up with his teddy bear in the tin-foil lined room so that brain-altering radiation won’t get to him:
His followers, however, are deserting the sinking ship of the Brazilian Embassy. What’s even more interesting is that so are the journalists.
The Organization of American States Permanent Council will hold an extraordinary meeting Tuesday to assess the situation in Honduras following the interruption of the process agreed by both sides to end the several months political crisis.
The “interruption of the process” is that Mel Zelaya decided to backtrack after he committed to the agreement.
The article continues,
In last Wednesday’ session several countries such as Venezuela, Bolivia, Nicaragua, Ecuador and Brazil expressed concern because of the delay in the implementation of the much worked Tegucigalpa/San Jose accord.
The council requested a new report on the situation from OAS Secretary General Jose Miguel Insulza and reaffirmed that the November 29th election results will not be recognized unless ousted president Manuel Zelaya is reinstated in office.
The OAS is simply echoing Hugo Chavez: the Venezuelan ambassador to the OAS, Roy Chaderton, declared that Micheletti is a mouse toying with the OAS.
Meanwhile, Lanny Davis, writing in the Wall Street Journal, sees The Way Forward in Honduras
The U.S. should recognize the coming election, whether Manuel Zelaya does or not.
It’s more accurate to say Mr. Zelaya moved to destroy the accord. It called for him to propose members of the reconciliation government by Nov. 5, and it also gave Honduras’s Congress the right to vote whether to reinstate him as president. But Mr. Zelaya refused to make his appointments, even while Mr. Micheletti proposed his appointments on time. On Friday, Mr. Zelaya declared the accord null and void before Congress could vote on whether to restore him to power. Interestingly, he had insisted on adding the congressional vote to the agreement, so his decision to blow up the process before the vote is an indication that even he realizes he would lose a vote in a Congress controlled by his liberal party.
If there is to be a resolution to this crisis, it will likely only come if the Obama administration (which helped both sides hammer out the accord), leaders in the U.S. Congress, and the Organization of American States (OAS) make sure that Mr. Zelaya does not get away with breaking his word.
One vital part of the accord calls for international monitors to go to Honduras to prepare for the presidential elections, which are scheduled for Nov. 29. Under the accord the monitors will work with the Honduran Supreme Electoral Tribunal, a four-member body appointed by Honduras’s Congress when Mr. Zelaya was in power, and which is independent of the executive branch. The White House and the U.S. Congress need to call for this step to be taken immediately.
Mr. Zelaya’s modus operandi is clear. In 2005, he got elected president while vowing to uphold the constitution. He then violated the country’s constitution by pushing for a vote that would have allowed him to extend his time in office. Honduras’s Constitution specifically states that a president who does that is to be automatically removed, which is why the country’s Supreme Court and Congress supported his removal. Mr. Zelaya’s response was to turn to OAS Secretary General José Miguel Insulza and the OAS to support him in ignoring his constitutional and legal commitments—and they did so.
Mr. Zelaya’s agenda is to reinstall himself to power before the presidential elections. If he succeeds, he might be able to disrupt those elections and create a constitutional crisis by ensuring that no one is credibly elected president. If that occurs, he would likely declare himself president ad infinitum—just what he was trying to do when he was ousted in June.
The bottom line is that a deal is a deal. The U.S. government needs to insist on the implementation of the accord and endorse the results of the Nov. 29 presidential elections as verified by international monitors. Once that happens, Mr. Zelaya will be irrelevant, a footnote as a president who thought he was above the constitution./blockquote>Amen to that.
In this CNN (Español) video from yesterday, November 3, you will hear US Assistant Secretary of State Thomas Shannon clarify that the restoration of Zelaya to the presidency is not guaranteed by the Guaymuras-Tegucigalpa-San José Accord and that it is a decision to be made by the Honduran National Congress. He states that installation of the National Unity Government is a separate matter from the restitution. He also states that the US and the OAS will accompany Honduras to their elections.
Shannon specifically denies the rumor that he pressured Zelaya to sign by saying that Zelaya’s son would be prosecuted on drug charges in the US.
Shannon also insists that both Micheletti and Zelaya agreed to abide by the Congress’ decision: “The future is in the hands of the Hondurans.”
The interview, in Spanish:
Zelaya in turn claims he must be reinstated, and sent a letter to Hillary Clinton asking to clarify.
La Gringa also has an article at Pajamas Media, Democracy Alliance in Honduras Declares OAS Chief ‘Persona Non Grata’
A blow against the Chavistas by a leading civic group that also wants to ban OAS observers from elections later this month.
In a noon press conference, a large Honduran civic group declared José Miguel Insulza, the secretary general of the Organization of American States (OAS), persona non grata in Honduras.
Armida López, the president of Alianza por Honduras en Paz y Democracia (Alliance for Honduras in Peace and Democracy), read the press release to the media.
Lopéz referred to Insulza’s interventionism in Honduras, his abusive comments in violation of the recent accord, and Chavez’s influence over Insulza. The APD press release asks the Honduran government not to allow Insulza in the country because he is not worthy of the position that he occupies. Additionally, it asks to not allow a general assembly of the OAS in Honduras since the OAS has chosen to remove Honduras from the organization — and has not invited the country to the meeting.
Additionally, the group asks the Honduran Supreme Electoral Court (TSE) to not permit OAS functionaries to serve as election observers because they do not believe that they are unbiased; the group accuses Insulza of being under the influence of Hugo Chavéz.
Again, as Shannon said in his interview, the Hondurans are taking things in their own hands.
I’ll be talking about this in today’s podcast at 11AM Eastern. You can listen to the archived podcasts at your convenience.
Honduras: Ousted Leader Questions U.S. Policy
Deal to restore Manuel Zelaya in Honduras at risk
Supporters of ousted Honduran President Manuel Zelaya say lawmakers are stalling efforts to bring him back to office before a Nov. 29 election.
Ed asks, Did Obama throw Zelaya under the bus?
Hacia una visa común latinoamericana
Marriage amendment in DR flies under the radar
Honduras Is An Opportunity. And the United States shouldn’t squander it. Well, they just did.
Jaime Bayly talks about the case (in Spanish)
Descartan terrorismo en incendio de P.Rico
El FBI concluyó que la explosión en Capeco no fue un acto de sabotaje, sino que fue provocado por gases que emanaron de un tanque en el almacén de combustibles de la empresa
Justifying the Prize
This week’s posts
Please note there were no podcasts last week since I had laryngitis.
Trick or treat: The Zelaya costume
Lifestyles of the rich and famous Communists
To hell in a handbasket
Argentina: The war against the media.
Update, 3 November
Welcome, Dodgeblogium readers!
Today’s podcast at 11AM Eastern:
The Honduran deal – international reaction: 15 Minutes on Latin America
PDF file of the signed accord here, in Spanish.
Otto Reich writing at The Corner: Honduras & U.S.
Mary O’Grady at the WSJ: Hillary’s Honduran Exit Strategy
WSJ editorial: Honduras 1, Hillary 0
A Honduran compromise provides Secretary of State Hillary Clinton with an elegant diplomatic exit.
IBD editorial: ‘Dialogue’ Trumps Honduran Law
Spain’s El Pais editorial: La derrota de Zelaya
Jonathan Adler: Is the Honduran Political Crisis Over?
Honduras News: Manuel Zelaya Regretting Agreement
Venezuela’s Noticias 24/Agence France Presse: Zelaya teme alguna “manipulación y juego oscuro” de parte de Micheletti
Spain’s El País: EE UU pactó con garantías la vuelta de Zelaya al poder
Grupos de diputados se comprometen a apoyar al mandatario depuesto
La Gringa, posting from Honduras: Thomas Shannon, the US State Department ‘cleaner’
AP: Honduran Congress to review crisis accord Tuesday
Dan Miller: Zelaya Wins, Honduras Loses
Background post from last Friday: Honduran government caves into US pressure, agrees to Zelaya’s restitution
The Carnival of Latin America and the Caribbean will be up later today.