Fausta's Blog

American and Latin American Politics, Society, and Culture

March 19, 2011 By Fausta

In the headlines: ‘my Dear Obama, our son’, French flying over Libya, Obama in Rio

Headlines today:
Gaddafi patronizes the POTUS:
‘To my Dear Obama, our son’, says Gaddafi, defending attack on rebels

Defending his decision to attack rebel cities, Gaddafi told Obama, “Al-Qaida is an armed organisation, passing through Algeria, Mauritania and Mali. What would you do if you found them controlling American cities with the power of weapons? What would you do, so I can follow your example.”

WSJ:
French Jets Fly Over Libya as World Leaders Meet

NYTimes:
France Sends Military Flights Over Libya

FP:
How Obama turned on a dime toward war

Congress was not broadly consulted on the decision to intervene in Libya, except in a Thursday afternoon classified briefing where administration officials explained the diplomatic and military plan. Rice was already deep in negotiations in New York.

Obama’s Tuesday night decision to push for armed intervention was not only a defining moment in his ever-evolving foreign policy, but also may have marked the end of the alliance between Clinton and Gates — an alliance that has successfully influenced administration foreign policy decisions dating back to the 2009 Afghanistan strategy review.

Article 1, Section 8 of the US Constitution states,

The Congress shall have Power…To declare War, grant Letters of Marque and Reprisal, and make Rules concerning Captures on Land and Water;

Heritage yesterday asked Five Questions Obama Has Not Answered on Libya

Here are just some of the fundamental questions the Administration has failed to answer as our military stands on the brink of a new and costly commitment:

So far, the only firm commitments are a naval blockade, AWACS for air traffic control, and signal-jamming aircraft. U.S. officials said that it would probably take several days for a full operation to be undertaken and that President Obama had not yet approved the use of U.S. military assets. Will he? Will the U.S. be using military force against Libya?
If establishing a no-fly zone in Libya is so vital to U.S. national security, why did the Administration waste a week getting approval from the U.N.?
Imposing a no-fly zone entails substantial costs for U.S. armed forces and risks diverting scarce U.S. military and intelligence assets. Will the vital missions in Afghanistan, Iraq, Yemen, and the Horn of Africa suffer?
Are the rebels free of terrorist elements, and what precautions will we require them to take to ensure that weapons we supply are not sold or diverted to other groups?
Will we rule out supplying arms (“Stinger” anti-aircraft missiles, for example) that could pose a potent threat to U.S. forces if they end up in the hands of terrorists?

Obama’s in Brazil, taking a trip that should have been scheduled two years ago. I am glad he’s finally gone to Brazil.

US President Barack Obama  introduces his family as they arrive in Brasilia, Brazil, on Saturday.

His weekly address touched on the topic,

Obama should be creating a much more business-friendly environment for trade with Latin America, and instead of giving lip service, can easily approve the free trade agreements with Colombia and Peru, and possibly one with Brazil. That would increase America’s competitiveness within the hemisphere.

He and Dilma did not hold a joint press conference, just a press announcement, because Dilma doesn’t take questions:

a press officer in the Brazilian foreign ministry says Rousseff just doesn’t take questions. “It’s not her way. She didn’t do it with the prime minister of East Timor either,” the press aide said.

Hundreds of miles away, Brazil Sends Forces to Jirau Dam After Riots

Brazil’s federal government Friday authorized the presence of national security forces in the Amazon state of Rondonia after riots at the Jirau dam site halted construction on the 3,450 megawatt dam.

Brazil is one of the five nations that voted to abstain on Thursday night’s vote before the U.N. Security Council.

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Filed Under: Barack Obama, Brazil, France, Libya, Oh look Obama changed his mind, trade, UN Tagged With: Dilma Rousseff, Fausta's blog, Muammar el-Qaddafi, Muammar Gaddafi, Muammar Qaddafi

March 16, 2011 By Fausta

Obama heading to Brazil on Friday, will ask, what can you do for me?

The WaPo’s headline has it,
In Brazil, Obama will ask what S. American economy can do for U.S.

When top American officials have visited Brazil in the past, they often have asked what the United States can do to help Brazil’s economy, which has been buffetted by periodic financial crises.

But when President Obama visits this weekend, he’ll be asking what Brazil can do for the U.S. economy.

White House officials said Tuesday that Obama’s trip this weekend — the centerpiece of which will be a series of economic talks in Brazil — would focus on ways that rapid growth in Latin America’s largest economy can pay off for U.S. businesses.

“This trip fundamentally is about the U.S. recovery, U.S. exports and the critical relationship that Latin America plays in our economic future and jobs here in the United States,” said Michael Froman, national security adviser for international economic affairs.

Let’s hope the administration at least attempts to couch that in better terms, because you can bet the Brazilians are focused on what’s in their national interest, and give a rat’s patootie about the US’s.

The trip’s supposed to be about trade,

President Obama will be heading to the region at a time of growing trade between U.S. and Central and South America. U.S. exports to the region grew 86% between 2004 and 2009 and are on track to double in the next five years, the White House said. Exports to the region are estimated at about $161 billion in 2010, supporting nearly 900,000 U.S. jobs, the White House said.

Obama’s scrupulously avoiding Colombia and Peru, two countries which have been waiting and waiting for their own Free Trade Agreements to be finalized

Brazil is the first stop on the trip, which will include a visit with the country’s new president, Dilma Rousseff. He will also be visiting El Salvador and Chile.

I can’t wait to see if former Marxist Dilma will be lecturing Obama on free trade and business, and against protectionism, as Lula did almost exactly two years ago during Lula’s White House visit.

Oil and tech are on the table, but other trade is unlikely to change,

In a nutshell, Brazil wants greater access for its ethanol and other commodities, and fewer U.S. subsidies in cotton and agriculture generally. On the other side, the United States is pushing for more access for its consumer goods in Brazil.

Preliminary talks, including a meeting between U.S. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton and Brazilian Foreign Minister Antonio Patriota in Washington earlier in March, have convinced both sides to expect scant, if any, progress.

Brazil says it cannot offer greater access to its consumer market, in part because its industries are suffering due to a strong currency and a wave of cheap imports from China..

Andres Oppenheimer is predicting a honeymoon, but my prediction is that they’ll punt on the trade issues, after the photo ops are done.

Maybe Obama will get Dilma to toss a football, just like Prime Minister Julia Gillard of Australia,

Dilma, however may insist on kicking a soccer ball. We shall see.

Security will be tight while the Obama family takes in the sights in Rio and possibly a stop at the beach. No word if Obama will meet with the Brazilian politician who changed his name to Barack Obama trying to get elected.

Cross-posted at Real Clear World

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Filed Under: Barack Obama, Brazil, Chile, El Salvador, Peru Tagged With: Dilma Rousseff, Fausta's blog, Free Trade Agreement, Real Clear World, Real Clear World Blog

January 3, 2011 By Fausta

The first 2011 Carnival of Latin America and the Caribbean

LatinAmerWelcome to the first Carnival of Latin America and the Caribbean of the new year 2011.

LATIN AMERICA
2010: Latin America by the Numbers

The Americano’s Top Ten Stories for 2010

ARGENTINA

The Year in Argentine Beef 2010: Good Luck Finding Grass-fed Beef in Argentina; It´s All Feedlot Now.

Argentina’s Forgotten Terror Victims
Thousands suffered in the leftist rampage that precipitated the 1976 military coup.

BARBADOS
Caribbean warmth

BOLIVIA
Gasolinazo part 3

Bolivians Protest Marxist Leader Morales – Torch Che Guevara Statue & Venezuelan Flag

BRAZIL
Our Southern Mirror

Raining on her parade, but still smiling

Rousseff Takes Reins in Brazil

CHILE
Yet another earthquake,


COLOMBIA

How Property Rights Might End Colombia’s Guerrilla War

CUBA
Raúl Rodríguez Soto, Cuba Political Prisoner of the Week, 1/2/11

Elsa Morejón Hernández publishes open letter asking for release of 11 political prisoners (morning roundup)

Cuba Un-Libre

Telecom Italia Tired of Tapping Cuban Phones

“Moral Certainty”

MEXICO
Dilemma for 2011 (and 2012, 2013, et cetera)

41 Guards charged for role in Nuevo Laredo prison break


La Familia on the Ropes

2010 Death Toll: Over 10,000 Die in Afghan Violence… Over 13,000 Die in Mexican Violence

Failed State Watch: How Much Longer for Mexico? (Part One)
We know about barbarous cartels. But more terrifying is their cancerous spread through Mexican government, and societal decay caused by a state with no justice. There is no avoiding the problem: we need to know all of Mexico, now.

NICARAGUA
Detienen en Nicaragua a pandillero hondureño

PANAMA
The status of Social Security in Panama

PARAGUAY
Palestinian FM: Chile, Paraguay to recognize Palestinian state in coming weeks
Uruguay also expected to recognize independent Palestinian state based on 1967 borders in March; Ecuador also due to open PA embassy.

PERU
Peru extends reserve requirements to bank units overseas

PUERTO RICO

Pfizer Must Pay $1.5 Million in Prempro Damages, Jury in Puerto Rico Says

VENEZUELA
Venezuelan Minister of Finance announces sharp devaluation of currency

After a legislative coup, a sort of economy coup: massive devaluation in Venezuela

Hugo and Hillary have a ‘friendly chat’

EL PAQUETE CHÁVEZ-GIORDANI-FIDEL HARÁ DEL 2011 EL AÑO DE LA MÁS AGUDA CONFLICTIVIDAD SOCIAL

The week’s posts and podcasts:
Hillary and Hugo BFFs
Silvio Canto’s podcast, Let’s talk about Cuba 2011
Hillary to Hugo: “Use me! Abuse me!”
PBS’s Ray Suarez can’t believe the truth about Cuba’s healthcare, also at Hot Air.
Finally! The US shows some gonadal fortitude to Chavez VIDEO
Bomb explodes at Greek Embassy in Argentina
El Cuchillo druglord killed in Colombia
NewsHour’s Cuban healthcare fairytale

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Filed Under: Argentina, Barbados, Bolivia, Brazil, Carnival of Latin America, Chile, Colombia, Cuba, Latin America, Mexico, Nicaragua, Panama, Paraguay, Peru, Puerto Rico, Venezuela Tagged With: Dilma Rousseff, Fausta's blog, Pfizer, Raúl Rodríguez Soto

October 31, 2010 By Fausta

Argentina: Today’s headlines from Clarin

I’m truly enjoying my trip to Buenos Aires, Argentina, and have a brief post:

Clarin, the newspaper whose stock went up by 50% the day after Kirchner’s death, has these two top headlines today (all links in Spanish):
Cristina returns today and shows strength: “The President will resume her full schedule tomorrow. Tuesday she’ll be at a business event in Cordoba. She will start her tour of Asia on Friday where she’ll attend the G-20 meeting.”

The poster above is one of thousands printed, distributed, and pasted on every corner of the city by the government the day after Kirchner’s death.

Today is Brazil’s runoff election:
Brasil’s ballots: Surveys confirm Dilma as the favorite. “Results were released this morning and show she will obtain between 55-56% of the vote against her Socialdemocrat rival Jose Serra.”
I know a guy named Jose Serra who is neither Brazilian, nor politician nor socialdemocrat.

Internet connections are iffy, so posting will continue to be sporadic, but I see that in the States the Jon Stewart rally went entirely as expected.

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Filed Under: Argentina, Brazil Tagged With: Clarin, Cristina Fernandez de Kirchner, Dilma Rousseff, Fausta's blog

October 4, 2010 By Fausta

Rousseff going to runoff after Brazil’s election

At the Beeb:
Rousseff falls short of outright win in Brazil election
Supporters of Jose Serra wave flags after hearing that he goes to the second round, 3 October 2010 For Serra’s supporters, a second round is an achievement in itself

Brazil’s presidential election will go to a second round after Dilma Rousseff failed to gain the 50% of votes needed for an outright victory.

With 98% of votes counted, President Lula’s former cabinet chief has 47% with Jose Serra trailing on 33%.

The two will contest a run-off vote in four weeks’ time.

A strong showing by the Green Party candidate, Marina Silva, who polled 19%, may have cost Ms Rousseff a first-round win.

At the WaPo:
Backed by Lula, Rousseff ahead but faces runoff in Brazil’s presidential vote

With 99.8 percent of the votes counted late in the evening, Dilma Rousseff, 62, a Marxist guerrilla-turned-economist who served Lula as chief of staff, had nearly 47 percent, to 32.6 percent for Jose Serra, a former governor who is her main challenger. A third candidate, Marina Silva, the Green Party candidate and a former environmental minister in Lula’s government, had 19.3 percent.

Steve Kingstone speculates on why Dilma didn’t get the outtright majority right away,

What happened? A critical mass of support seems to have fallen away in the days immediately before polling – partly the consequence of a corruption scandal involving a former adviser, and partly the fall-out of a row over Dilma’s stance on abortion.

Evangelical Christians reacted badly to reports that the presidential favourite planned to liberalise Brazil’s strict abortion law – a claim she denied – and some appear to have shifted their loyalty to the Green Party candidate, Marina Silva, who is herself a devout evangelical Christian.

That may be the case, but as PoliBlog put it,

unless she shoot a man in Reno (or in this case, Rio) just to watch him die, she’s in.

That is testament to Lula’s popularity – considering that Dilma has never held elected office.

American Power links to the London Telegraph profile of Dilma:
The former Marxist guerrilla who is set to become Brazil’s first woman president
She is a former Marxist guerrilla whose organisation once stole $2.5 million from the safe of the governor of São Paulo.

The daughter of a middle class Bulgarian immigrant and a schoolteacher in Belo Horizonte, southeastern Brazil, she realised upon leaving a privileged school that the world was “not a place for debutantes”.

She was 16 when Brazil fell prey to a military coup in 1964 and like many was soon drawn into the world of underground opposition.

Introduced to Marxist politics by the man who became her first husband, Claudio Galeno, she helped build up one of the guerrilla organisations trying to overthrow the government – at one point spending three years in prison.

After democracy was restored she had a daughter, Paula, now a 33-year-old lawyer, with her second husband Carlos Araújo, a revolutionary leader who had met Fidel Castro and Che Guevara. She trained as an economist she entered conventional left-wing politics and professional public service.

In 2001, by now divorced again, she joined Lula’s Workers’ Party and her experience in the country’s energy ministry quickly impressed the new president. A cabinet job as energy minister followed before she was appointed his chief of staff in 2005.

But many have questioned how she can be running for the presidency.

Critics say she was simply the last senior Lula crony standing since one aide after another was forced to quit in scandals over alleged slush funds, bribery or blackmail – including, last week, her own former aide who had followed in her footsteps as Lula’s chief of staff.

Her lumbering speaking style and lack of personal charisma do not make her an obvious candidate and – in what was seen as a thinly-veiled attempt to protect Ms Rousseff – the government made it illegal for television and radio broadcasters to make fun of the candidates.

In effect, Brazilians have voted for a third Lula term, while we wait to see what Lula is planning for himself over the next four years. After Dilma’s term, he’s eligible to run for the presidency again.

Will Dilma continue Lula’s policies? We’ll soon find out.

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Filed Under: Brazil, elections, Lula, politics Tagged With: Dilma Rousseff, Fausta's blog

October 3, 2010 By Fausta

Spotlight on Brazil’s election

Today Brazil is holding a presidential election:

The popular and successful Silva, commonly referred to as Lula, is stepping down after serving two consecutive terms, the most allowed under the country’s constitution.

His former chief of staff and Silva’s hand-picked successor, Dilma Rousseff, 62, is widely expected to win the election. She represents the ruling Workers Party and is a former left-wing dissident who was jailed by Brazil’s military regime for two years in the early 1970s.

Opinion polls conducted before the vote showed Rousseff with a lead of about 20 percentage points over her closest rival, Jose Serra, a 68-year-old centrist from the Brazilian Social Democracy Party who was heavily defeated by Silva in the 2002 election.

Lula already voted, and wished he was a candidate (link in Spanish):

I’ll be posting on the results tomorrow.

Al-Jazeera filed a video report from a small town in Southern Brazil, and how Lula’s social programs are considered counterproductive,

Al-Jazeera is probably the only international network doing this type of reporting.

Also in the news in Brazil, Paraguayan president Fernando Lugo (he, the Bishop of the paternity suits) was flown from Asuncion, Paraguay, to Sao Paolo, Brazil, following a stroke during a course of chemotherapy for his lymphatic cancer.

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Filed Under: Brazil, elections, Lula, Paraguay Tagged With: Dilma Rousseff, Fausta's blog, Fernando Lugo

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