I’m not sure in exactly what form, or exactly when, but in our connected world, there are storm clouds gathering:
1. International Geopolitics Abhors a Vacuum
You don’t have to be a supporter of Putin’s domestic to recognize that he is successfully expanding Russia’s influence and strengthening his country’s global position, while Obama has thoroughly squandered American prestige, abandoned allies, embraced our enemies, and reduced American influence to third-rate status.
2. Putin doesn’t have a strong hand, but it’s strong enough to exploit the weakness that Obama projects
3. Putin wants to humiliate Obama with airstrikes in Syria
But Putin sees a necessity in humiliating the United States. That’s business. And yet, despite Putin’s obviousness, the White House team and its acolytes publicly scratch their heads and other body parts, saying, “We’re not certain what the Russians intend.”
4. In Obama’s world posturing is enough to produce an conclusive result. That may be, but Obama is actively working towards a conclusive result in other areas. I have stated several times that I fully expect Obama to cede Guantanamo to Cuba. You can be sure Putin and the Castros already are planning to gain from that eventuality. Or do you really believe Putin wasn’t listening when John Kerry declared “The era of the Monroe Doctrine is over”?
Lest you find me unduly alarmist, my gut tells me that, once a Russian three star general warns US officials ‘we request your people leave’, all bets are off.
And remember the signing amount of $100 billion Obama administration released to Iran for agreeing to the Nuclear Deal? Russia is getting a big chuck of that money. Tehran is ordering missile equipment as well as satellite and space technology worth $21 billion from Moscow.
Another storm cloud, which may or may not be catching Putin’s attention, is the Colombia/FARC agreement. Alvaro Uribe sums it up in one tweet:
“I helped elect Santos in 2010 and he brings terrorists to power, buried our policies that elected him, and offers me a guaranteed jail sentence.”
Ayudé a elegir a Santos en 2010 y lleva terroristas al poder enterró nuestras políticas que lo eligieron y me ofrece la cárcel de garantía
— Álvaro Uribe Vélez (@AlvaroUribeVel) September 30, 2015
Uribe may prove to be an optimist.
Colombia is Latin America’s third-largest economy. If the FARC is legitimized, all sorts of hell is going to break lose.
In a lighter mode, The Art of Manliness has How to Gird Up Your Loins: An Illustrated Guide
Excellent insight, Good reporting. Thanks.
Obama is showing us how to lead from behind. For sure, Putin is up front.
Thank OT.
There’s worse to come.
Thank you for filling a gap in my vocabulary. I am practicing with my bathrobe.