Dick Morris, in today’s Washington Post: Obama Has the Upper Hand. But McCain Can Still Take Him.
To sum it up: A candidate who cannot get elected is being nominated by a party that cannot be defeated, while a candidate who is eminently electable is running as the nominee of a party doomed to defeat.
In this environment, McCain can win by running to the center.
His base will be there for him; indeed, it will turn out in massive numbers. Wright has become the honorary chairman of McCain’s get-out-the-vote efforts. It would be nice to think that race isn’t a factor in American politics anymore, but it is. The growing fear of Obama, who remains something of an unknown, will drag every last white Republican male off the golf course to vote for McCain, and he will need no further laying-on of hands from either evangelical Christians or fiscal conservatives.
So McCain doesn’t have to spend a lot of time wooing his base. What he does need to do is reduce the size of the synapse over which independents and fearful Democrats need to pass in order to back his candidacy. If the synapse is wide, they will stay with Obama. But if they perceive McCain as an acceptable alternative, there is every chance that they will cross over to back him in November.
Who am I to disagree with Dick Morris, but the way I see it, McCain has an even bigger problem: many Republicans are assuming that McCain will win, and they are doing next to nothing to help him win, to get out the vote or even donating.
I’ve been discussing this with a friend who has been watching and participating in American politics for decades. Her appraisal is very somber when it comes to the cult of Obama and the upcoming Obamatopia (TM).
She recognizes that McCain is against a mighty juggernaut (the Democrat party machinery, of course), but also against a cult-like following “that victimizes itself with politics of hatred”, in which propaganda “worms/ingratiates/infiltrates and then stays like a stubborn virulent disease with no fact overrides” (her words). At the same time, McCain is not stirring the Republicans.
Dick Morris says that McCain can win by moving to the center.
The question is, can McCain mobilize the country to effectively win over what has turned into an article of faith?
Cross-posted at PoliGazette
This week’s WSJ’s Five Best Books on the American West, selected by Alexandra Fuller:
Today’s shoes: Clark’s Korbin, available in seven colors.
The Carnival of the Insanities is up.