Hablando sobre las elecciones argentinas,
Hablando sobre las elecciones argentinas,
Both at 35%, even when Scioli, Cristina’s anointed, was regarded as “clear favorite.”
Scioli had brought Maradona along on the campaign trail,
A few headlines from around the world:
WSJ: Argentina Heads for Presidential Runoff in Shock Result
At stake are Mrs. Kirchner’s trademark policies, including heavy government spending to expand welfare programs, currency controls and import barriers. Economists say those policies have stalled the economy and spurred 25% annual inflation, but her supporters say she has redistributed wealth and brought stability to a country that suffered an economic collapse in 2001 when it defaulted on its debt. Mrs. Kirchner has a 42% approval rating, according to polling firm Management & Fit, the highest of any departing president in modern Argentine history. She is constitutionally barred from seeking a third consecutive term.
The Guardian: Argentina’s presidential election headed for second round after no clear winner. Preliminary results put ruling coalition’s Daniel Scioli and opposition candidate, Mauricio Macri, neck and neck
Until the result, Scioli – a former racing boat champion – was the clear favourite, but the result was a disappointment to supporters. They had hoped a strong mandate would help them resist calls for drastic changes to Kirchner’s leftwing policies that have been popular with the public, but left the economy with a host of problems.
The tight race means that Argentineans will head to the polls again on November 22, and many observers believe it likely that Macri, a conservative millionaire businessman, will defeat Scioli and end 12 years of leftist Kirchnerite governments.
Clarin: For the first time in 28 years, peronists lost the governorship of the Buenos Aires Province. Scioli y Macri a segunda vuelta y Vidal con un gran triunfo. En la presidencial quedaron con poca diferencia y habrá balotaje el 22 de noviembre. La candidata del PRO venció a Aníbal F. y desplazó al PJ de la gobernación tras 28 años
Un par de horas más tarde, se confirmaría lo peor para el Gobierno: no sólo Scioli estrenará la segunda vuelta presidencial, sino que después de 28 años, el peronismo perdió la gobernación de la provincia de Buenos Aires. La cándida María Eugenia Vidal vencía esta madrugada al duro Aníbal Fernández por varios puntos. También la oposición se alzaba con un triunfo en varios municipios clave de la Provincia (Tres de Febrero, Quilmes, Morón, Pilar, Mar del Plata, Bahía Blanca) y en una provincia históricamente peronista como Jujuy. Cambio de época.
A couple of hours later came the worst news for the Government: Not only will Scioli go to a runoff, but, for the first time in 28 years, peronists lost the governorship of the Buenos Aires Province. Newby María Eugenia Vidal won by several points over veteran Aníbal Fernández. The opposition scored wins in several of the Province’s key municipalities (Tres de Febrero, Quilmes, Morón, Pilar, Mar del Plata, Bahía Blanca) and in the traditionally peronist province of Jujuy. Change of an era.]
Le Monde: En Argentine, un revers pour la présidente Cristina Kirchner [In Argentina, a setback for president Cristina Kirchner.]
This puts Massa, Cristina’s former cabinet chief, in an interesting position.
NYT: In Argentina Elections, Tight Vote Yields Presidential Runoff
The candidates signaled an intense new phase of campaigning ahead of the runoff election on Nov. 22. Sergio Massa, a former ally of Mrs. Kirchner’s who moved into the opposition, could find himself in the role of kingmaker after securing 21 percent of the vote in the partial count, with analysts questioning whether he will forge an alliance with Mr. Macri.
Channel News Asia: Argentina’s Massa coy on role in any presidential run-offPresidential challenger Sergio Massa, who almost certainly placed third in Argentina’s presidential election on Sunday, congratulated his rivals on their result and vowed to remain in the political fight.
I have several links in this morning’s Carnival regarding the many challenges ahead for Argentina’s next president.
The November 22 runoff will be the first in Argentina’s history.
A political outsider who ran on 1 issue: Fighting corruption, wins by a 2:1 margin,
Jimmy Morales Wins Guatemalan Presidential Election in Landslide. Former TV comedian is political outsider who now must meet his promise to tackle country’s rampant corruption
With 92% of ballots counted, Mr. Morales had 70% of the vote, compared with 30% for his rival, former first lady Sandra Torres. If the trend holds, it would be the largest margin of victory in a presidential vote here since democracy was restored in 1985 after a military dictatorship.
“I have been given a mandate, a mandate to clean up corruption that has eaten at this country,” Mr. Morales said in a TV message.
The president, vice-president, the head of the central bank, leaders of several political parties, and the head of the social-security institute, all are investigated brought down by myriad corruption charges:
Polls show corruption is the main concern in Guatemala, above insecurity and unemployment. Guatemala ranks 115 out of 175 countries in the corruption perceptions index of International Transparency—one of the worst positions in the region.
Some businessmen calculate around 30% of the country’s meager annual government spending, $9.1 billion this year, is squandered through corruption.
Here is his acceptance speech (in Spanish),
He will serve one 4-year term. The challenges he’ll face are enormous.
Following the ruling party’s candidate Daniel Scioli’s absence at the presidential candidates’ debate, there is now speculation on a possible runoff:
The Argentinian ruling party’s candidate Daniel Scioli maintains a commanding lead in the presidential race but still lacks enough voter support to win outright in the first round, a poll by the Poliarquia consultancy showed on Sunday.
Apparently Macri is in second place,
His nearest rival Mauricio Macri, the center-right mayor of Buenos Aires city, trails with 26.2 percent, while Sergio Massa, who defected from the ruling party in 2013, has 20.1 percent ahead of the Oct. 25 ballot.
Since Scioli was absent at the debate, the remaining candidates were allotted an additional 30 seconds, which Massa kept in silence to highlight what he called Scioli’s mockery,
Macri promises swift reforms to open up markets in Latin America’s third biggest economy but many voters worry he would return Argentina to the neo-liberal policies of the 1990s that led to a devastating economic depression.
As opposed to existing chronic default and a collapsing currency.
Cristina’s worried about her legacy,
“The Kirchnerist wing will be left out [of government],” Mr. Arzadun said. But traditionally, “the political power in Argentina revolves around Peronism.”
Ms. Fernandez is enlisting allies in Congress, where her son and potential political heir, Maximo Kirchner, is running for a seat for the first time. Meanwhile, she can count on the Front for Victory’s ultraloyal grass-roots groups to help her maintain control of the Peronist movement — and come out on top in a potential power struggle with a Scioli-led government.
Jorge Lanata has been reporting on election fraud (which allegedly included buying votes with drugs. Here’s last Sunday’s program (in Spanish),
The “humble guy” in action:
“Video of Evo ordering someone to tie his shoes. This is the 21st century socialism’s much-touted equality.”
Video donde Evo ordena que le amarren el zapato. Esta es la igualdad que promueve el socialismo del Siglo XXI. pic.twitter.com/dDnfb5SIwL
— Samuel Doria Medina (@SDoriaMedina) August 24, 2015
Two years ago Bolivia’s constitutional court ruled Evo Morales could run for a third time.
Here comes the fourth!
Mr Morales has said that he wants to complete his government’s “Patriotic Agenda” by taking action on “13 pillars of action” by 2025.
Why not just declare himself a monarch and get it over with?
This does not bode well:
Riot police suppress protests calling for new elections in Tucumán
Allegations of electoral fraud bring demonstrators out on the street in Argentinean province
At stake was the governorship of Tucumán, where Alperovich and his associates from President Cristina Fernández de Kirchner’s Front for Victory (FPV) coalition manage a $3 billion dollar budget as they please. If no new elections are held, his vice-governor, Juan Manzur, will soon take over.
. . .
Though the province is the nation’s smallest, it has the fifth largest population and has now become the site of a landmark moment in this election season. According to preliminary results, presidential election favorite Daniel Scioli’s center-left FPV coalition won Tucumán by 14 points but this victory may cost him, with images of irregularities on the day of voting and other fraudulent maneuvers threatening to damage his standing.
The sign reads, “I don’t fear the state’s repression.
I fear the people’s silence.”
— Miguel Velárdez (@miguelvelardez) August 27, 2015
Advertencia: Contiene malas palabras
Opposition parties could still rally together to win Argentina’s presidency later this year, but only if there’s a runoff.
Candidates in the general election need at least 45% of the vote, or 40% plus a 10-point margin over their closest rival, to win in the first round.
The Buenos Aires Herald says Scioli emerged stronger,
In the end, the only presidential contender for the FpV received 38.41 percent of valid votes against the 24.28 percent mustered by PRO chief Mauricio Macri, the 3.45 percent obtained by Radical (UCR) party leader Ernesto Sanz and the 2.34 percent received by Civic Coalition leader Elisa Carrió
Scioli’s meeting with Lula and Italian Prime Minister Matteo Renzi, and heading to China and Russia, for some foreign policy bona fides (not that it would seem to matter).
Bayly had José Benegas in last night’s show, talking about the primary (in Spanish),
Benegas’s latest book is available on Amazon, Hagase tu voluntad: Bajar del cielo para conseguir un cargador de iPhone (Spanish Edition)